California Desperately Needs Rain. What Are the Chances of a ‘Miracle’ in March?

The start of the wet season was promising in California, with a record-breaking atmospheric river in October and an onslaught of storms in December, but the weather forecast has remained persistently dry since the start of the year — with no hope for rain in the immediate future.

The lack of rain during what is usually the wettest time of the year is problematic in a drought-plagued state that needs to replenish its water supply and dampen a wildfire-prone landscape. The last hope that remains for winter is a surge of precipitation in late February and in March. What are the chances of that even happening?

This Is How Much Rain California Needs to Get Out of the Drought

With California starved for water amid dire drought conditions, there’s a lot of hope that the upcoming winter will deliver plentiful rain and snow.

But exactly how much precipitation is needed to pull the state out of a drought?

The California Department of Water Resources, the state agency that manages drought responset, has answered that question with a model from the U.S. Geological Survey.

Opinion: Here’s How Less than 10% of Farmland Could Solve the Colorado River’s Water Deficit

It is no exaggeration to say that a mega-drought not seen in 500 years has descended on the seven Colorado River Basin states: Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona and California. That’s what the science shows, and that’s what the region faces.