El Niño is Fizzling

As we see our rainy season come to a close the early signs for next year are getting more muted. Long range forecasting is always a challenge but past El Niño and La Niña events have helped nudge the forecast along. Warmer water in the middle of the Pacific indicate an El Niño event but while things are warm, it’s just not progressing much. This year was saw a few early signs that El Niño may be coming back and the projection was to see a weak to moderate event this Fall into Winter.