The end of the historic California drought appears increasingly unlikely, at least anytime soon, with new long-range forecasts hinting at a warm, dry winter for much of the state.

The monthly outlook released Thursday by the U.S. Climate Prediction Center cites a 33 percent chance that significantly below-average precipitation will arrive in San Francisco and points south between December and February. The outlook also identifies a higher probability of above-average temperatures in California south of Monterey Bay over the same period.