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It Hasn’t Been a Textbook El Niño Winter So Far — but That Could Change

The Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California has long been a leader in studying the weather phenomenon known as El Niño. In a recent Scripps video a handful of scientists recount the story of El Niño forecasting by remembering that the strong El Niño of 1982-83was a complete surprise, catching unaware not just the scientists but also the state’s emergency services. Never again, they said, and when they saw a strong El Niño taking shape in 1997-98, they sounded the alarm early.

Bay Area Storm Leads To Flooding, Rock Slides and Crashes

A Tuesday-morning rainstorm flooded streets and small streams around the Bay Area as drivers took to the region’s roadways for the morning commute.

 

The National Weather Service issued a flood advisory and hazardous weather outlook from the North Bay south to Monterey, and east into the Central Valley.

 

The flood warning was in effect until 9:45 a.m., when Tuesday’s moderate-to-heavy rain will then turn to scattered showers before easing up in the afternoon.

El Niño Gearing Up For ‘Second Peak’ in Southern California

It’s a little too soon to write of this season’s El Niño as a no-show, just because a punishing succession of drenching storms has yet to materialize. The weather phenomenon is still on, even if the drizzles in Southern California and the harder rain up north that are happening now aren’t really El Niño-driven, according to experts. (With the exception of the intense rain in the first week of this month.) The LA Times reports that the relatively mild weather we’re seeing now here in the Southland is actually just part of normal weather for this time of year, but they insist that there are still serious storms .

What Happened To El Niño? Be Patient, L.A., It’ll Come, Expert Says

When the first hints of El Niño developed last year, experts believed that the brunt of the rain would occur in Southern California rather than Northern California.

So far this season, the opposite has happened.

 

Since Oct. 1, San Francisco was at 100% of average rainfall as of Monday; Eureka at 142% and Fresno, 152%. Yet Los Angeles was only at 64% of average.

No Federal Water for CA Farmers Despite El Niño

The current El Niño is already the strongest since 1950 in many areas of California, including the fertile San Joaquin Valley, where many of the country’s fruits and vegetables are grown. Fresno has seen 6.61 inches of rain since October 1; the historical average is 4.64 inches, according to the Fresno Bee.

 

There is more rain on the way: the National Weather Service forecasts two new storm systems will move into the area on Monday and Tuesday, dropping rain in the Valley and snow in the Sierra Nevada.

 

Two More Storms Ahead This Week

Humboldt County residents should keep their rain jackets, their umbrellas handy, and alternate routes in mind, because two storms — one today and another later in the week — are expected to hit the county.

 

Another storm is expected to bring more rain across Humboldt County all day today, National Weather Service meteorologist Ryan Aylward said.

California Farmers Brace for Water Shortage Despite El Nino

Farmers in California’s fertile San Joaquin Valley are bracing to receive no irrigation water from the federal government for a third consecutive year.

 

They’re hoping for El Nino-driven storms to produce the very wet winter they need. Reservoirs and groundwater supplies are critically low after four drought years.

Study: Borrego Water Woes Dire

A study recently completed by the U.S. Geological Survey confirms what people in the tiny desert town of Borrego Springs have suspected for some time: Their only source of water, deep below the earth, is being depleted at a rate roughly four times faster than it is being replenished.

 

The six-year study, done in conjunction with the Borrego Water District, puts hard numbers to a situation that can only be described as dire. Complicating matters further, the Borrego Water District recently was forced to enter into an agreement with the state saying it will find a way to stop over-drawing the aquifer within 20 years.

January Rainfall at Levels Not Seen In Six Years

North State residents are seeing something this month they haven’t seen in several years.

It has been six years since this much rain has fallen over the North State in January, according to the National Weather Service.

Since the beginning of the month, 8.41 inches of rain has fallen at the Weather Service’s rain gauge at the Redding Municipal Airport — almost as much as the past five years combined. In January 2015, only .26 inches of rain fell on Redding.

California Snowpack, Local Reservoir Levels Slowly Growing

California remains in a serious drought, but the good news is that El Niño-driven storms are slowing rebuilding the Sierra snowpack and raising reservoir levels in San Diego County.

The state snowpack stood at 110 percent of normal level for this time of year on Friday, and reservoirs in San Diego County were at their highest level in January in four years.

 

“We’re always pleased to see our reservoir levels increase,” said Dana Friehauf, water resources manager for the San Diego County Water Authority. “We probably did capture some of the rainfall from the past week.”