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Forecasters Backing Down on Next La Nina

Climatologists are backing away from a full-blown La Nina that could replace last winter’s El Nino. The Climate Prediction Center says current conditions are neutral between the two Pacific Ocean opposites. Forecast models suggest La Nina will set-in between now and October with only a 60 percent chance it will persist through the winter. 
Last winter, El Nino gave Northern California above-normal rain and snow but overlooked Southern California and failed to end the state’s 5-year drought. La Nina is known for its cooler, drier weather. The coastal waters off Southern California may still be recovering from El Nino. Sea surface temperatures in late July hit 78 degrees along Orange County beaches.

Does the New La Niña Forecast Mean a Dry Winter for California?

According to a new forecast from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center, it’s likely that the La Niña weather pattern will show up this winter. The likelihood that it will show up this winter is the same as last month: a 55 to 60 percent probability. That’s a downgrade from June, when it was 75 percent. While El Niño is associated with warmer waters in the equatorial Pacific and warm, wet winters in Southern California, La Niña can be tied to cooling waters, and is better known for keeping things drier in the southern part of the state.

Federal Water Bills Would Harm our Salmon

Today, one of our state’s most iconic local foods, chinook salmon, is in critical danger, threatened by drought and Congress.